The 9/11 attack on the United States has a series of miserable wars in the Middle East that pursues the goal of eliminating the actual or potential military threats of Israel in the Middle East in the Middle East, and secures the supply of abalone subscribers and oil. As a result, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, and Syria were very limited, and blood and treasures were greatly consumed. Iran has escaped the attack program of this ruin from the Middle East. But Iran remains on the crucifixion of Israel, which considers Iran as the last regional power. Israel is trying to lead the United States to the war with Iran. I will explain why attacking Iran is a foolish behavior that is harmful to American interests.
Size is important
Iran is a much larger and larger country that the United States has attacked in the Middle East. Invaders are needed to destroy the regime and remove all Iranian military facilities. Iran is four times the size of Iraq (636,400 square meters vs 169,200 square meters) and three times more population (88 million to 25 million), and more than 500,000 US troops will be required to attempt to conquer Iran, which will be required to supply the necessary soldiers. The US casualties in Iran’s earth wars are probably larger than in Iraq (about 3,400 hunger, 32,000 injuries in Iraq).
Iran is not only a large country, but also has a wide mountain area and gross range that extends more than 900 miles along the west border. Steep terrain and narrow passes will raise substantial obstacles to all ground invading groups and will promote the same defense tactics used by Taliban’s similar terrain in Afghanistan.
Zagros Mountains -Welcome to Iran
The extended bombing campaign can destroy Iran’s many military assets, but it is unlikely to secure the regime’s surrender, and Iran’s weapons can cause serious damage to the US base in the region. Iran can cause a significant casualty to US employees without Iran’s ground invasion with more than 1,000 ballistic missiles that can attack US troops in the Middle East.
US Mid Eastbase -Asset or Goal?
Iran missiles -appropriate suppression?
The weakness of US troops in Iran’s attack is the main reason for Israel to lead the United States to Iran and war. The Israeli strike against Iran will cause retaliation for US troops, believing that it has made it possible. Pro Israel assumes that the United States has an American casualty to participate in the campaign.
Economic confusion
The full -fledged regional war between the United States and Iran will include the destruction of oil production and export facilities in the Hormos straight line closure Wai, Saudi Arabia and Gulf. Such conflicts doubles oil prices, which can seriously affect the world economy. The longer the war, the more economic damage is. Yemen’s HOUTHIS, which has much less military skills than Iran, has effectively blocked most of the shipping in the Red Sea for several months with periodic missile attacks. Iran will be much more confused with trade than HOUTHIS.
Hormuz straight -energy choke point
Israel’s damage
Israel seriously judged the military situation in the past: Operation Suez, the YOM KipPur War, and the October 7 Hamas attack revealed misunderstandings of all intelligence failures and dangers. When the war with Iran begins, if the information estimates are wrong, Israel is exposed to serious dangers. If we have overestimated the number and accuracy of Iran Iran missile or accuracy, or overestimated the ability to preemptively destroy missiles, it would face retaliatory attacks. If Israel has overestimated missile defense defense capabilities, it will lead to loss of important private infrastructure, such as power plants, deeshable facilities, fuel storage sites and marine gas production. Israel, which has weakened after recovering from such a disaster, will still be surrounded by more hostile neighbors by another episode of terrible destruction.
Cultural devastation
In addition to the risk of serious military and economic wars with Iran, there is a risk of incompatible cultural sites and losses of relics. Iran is an ancient country with a rich history of Millenia. Large wars with Iran will take risks in the destruction, damage and plunder of many great monuments of Persia and Islamic civilizations. It is the size of this danger that the US military failed to invade to prevent extensive destruction and plunder of Iraq’s cultural sites.
ISFAHAN’s Jameh Mosque -Future Mortgage Instructions?
conclusion
Reasonable analysis has no power for a firm ideology, and Neocon’s ideology has affected negative results so far. They see military and political failures for evidence that military power is not sufficient, which considers the universal treatment of the United States’ international difficulties. If President Trump is shaken by the war Hawks in Israel Lobby and his cabinet, he will add another mistake to the sad records of the wrong American military adventure in the Middle East and accelerate the decline of the US hegemony. Talleyrand said of the Bourbon monarch, “They have forgotten anything without learning anything.” I hope this will not apply to the United States when we approach the war crisis with Iran.
