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The Earth may have already entered the global heating era that aims to avoid the Paris Convention, and two new studies have been found to survey the record destruction temperature in 2024.
Published research nature Climate changeLast year, an unprecedented heat suggests that the average global temperature can indicate the beginning of multiple periods in which the average global temperature continues to exceed 1.5C.
In 2024, the temperature rose to more than 1.5C for 12 consecutive months.
Since this is the core goal set by the 2015 Paris Convention, the level country has tried to avoid overtime to limit the fatal climate impact.
According to Germany’s first study, the earth has been in the earth for 20 years, where the earth’s temperature persists over 1.5C.
“Multiple data sets and approaches of multiple organizations have been converged by an average of 1.55C in 2024 than before industrialization.
According to a second study led by researchers in Canada, the average surface temperature in June 2024 was higher than the industrial level of 1.5C for 12 consecutive months in June 2024.
This study means 76 %of the possibility that it has already reached a long -term warming threshold for 12 consecutive months, more than 1.5C.
If this trend continues for 18 consecutive months, the violation of the Paris Convention Critical Price is virtually sure. January 2025 was 19 months beyond the mark.
Dr. Andrew King, a senior instructor of Melbourne University’s climate science, is not a member of the two studies. Input that exceeds global warming of 1.5C or more.
He warned that it would be difficult to prevent it from remaining more than the climate of the climate.
“Global greenhouse gas emissions remain in record level or nearby, and global warming has accelerated in recent years.
“A big change is needed for the bullet bonus of our society and the economy. Otherwise, we will warm the earth and get more and more damage. ”
This study reminds you how far away you actually deal with climate change.
Dr. Andrew King, Senior Lecturer at Melbourne University
However, Dr. Tom Mortlock, a climate analysis of the Climate Change Research Center, added: This is not the same as violating the Paris contracting critical value 1.5c. ”
He explains that the goal of the Paris Convention is the 20 -year average. In other words, we do not officially know if we have exceeded the critical value for years until it happens.
“Whether we have [breached the Paris target] Otherwise, we still have about six years in the global carbon budget, and the fact that we still offer a 50/50 opportunity to aim for Paris at the current rate is still left.
“If this new study is correct, 2024 may be the first sign of this goal.”
This warning was the most popular year in 2024 after the confirmation of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), and the global temperature was higher than before 1.55C.
The influence of this warming is already felt around the world. From the deadly forest fires of California to the deadly floods of Valencia, Nepal and Sudan, the climate crisis has worsened.
Scientists say it’s time to make a difficult choice to prioritize the climate.
Dr. Paul Read, director of FERN (Future Emergency Resilience Network), prepares for the “1.5 World.”
“We will soon have to change the socioeconomic, energy and infrastructure systems that transcend politics as usual.
“We can do it with resource wars and misery, or other creativity and sympathy. I would like to think that most people will choose the latter, whether they prefer the flavor of politics. ”
