Expert perspective / opinion- I recently enjoyed delivering the opening address. Password Respect dinner We recognized the best in the national security community.
When we said ‘national security’, we started with asking what we mean today. Because it is recognized as our greatest threat because it has changed over time.
For American colonies, the goal was not a new land. For the first decades after our republic was established, national security focused on protecting our sovereignty from foreign threats. During the inter -Korean war, our goal was to preserve the coalition.
During World War and Cold War, our main goal was to ensure that the combination of hostile and hostile power did not dominate Eurasian land. The Cold War also brought requirements to prevent nuclear attacks on our hometown or allies.
Since 9/11, our main goal was to prevent another massive terrorist attack. More recently, we have focused on China’s rise in China and the threat of Russia, which many people portrayed it as a new Cold War in my view.
What is the second question that Americans should ask? Is it our Constitutional Republic, or is it just our territory, national and international interests? What happens if the biggest threat comes from inside?
In this regard, it is worth recalling the warning of Abraham Lincoln in 1838 speeches of Lyceum in Springfield, Illinois in 1838. Lincoln was surprised that the violence was increasingly used for political purposes, and as a student of the Republican Roman, Lincoln understood the threat of our weak democracy and the rule of law.
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He wrote: “Then, what is the approach to the risk to be expected at some point? I must pop out between us to get to us.
It was actually a way that the Roman Republic, the dominant power of that time, fell into the rule of the emperors.
As I wrote recently published symposiumNational security begins at home.
Our national security depends on whether people who ultimately accused of protecting the Republic of Korea will vow to support and defend our constitution of all enemies in foreign and domestic.
It depends on our national association, will and elasticity, our trust in government agencies.
It depends on our values, and it depends on the good and good United States.
And it depends on whether we create power and not deplete it. A good strategy creates political power, economic and financial power, technology, diplomacy, military and information, information power and cultural power. Bad strategies deplete it.
What about foreign threats to national security?
Internationally, US policies and actions are the biggest decisions of national security. Are you in danger of putting Michael Beckley and HAL brands recently? diplomacyRogue or Renegade superpowers? The United States that imposes protective tariffs over the 1930 World Economic Death-Hori Law? Is the United States that we treat friends America better than dealing with enemies? The United States threatens to capture Greenland and Panama Canal?
Or will we proceed to the correct process and follow the more traditional paths?
Trade wars can be solved and competitors can be confronted.
It is always better to have an alliance. They are important not only for military, but also for intelligence and economic purposes.
Like Japan before Jinju Bay, China believes that the United States is economically hostile but militaryly vulnerable. Our India-Commander of the Pacific Command, Admiral Sam Papa Testimony recentlyChinese military behaviors in Taiwan and abroad look like war rehearsal than training practice. And our rapidly increasing trade war can move the XI’s timetable to war.
China, Russia, perhaps the risk of the World War between North Korea and Iran is higher than for decades.
China and Russia’s territory claims do not end with Taiwan and Ukraine. Beijing claims most of the southern, the East China Sea and many areas in India. Chinese soldiers also liberated Guam and Hawaii and called them as relics of Western imperialism.
Of course, there is a threat of China, where cyber, space, and China’s nuclear weapons are greatly expanded beyond Hawaii.
Putin did not lose his ambition to bring Ukraine under his control, and I think he is on his side.
Peace through power is a good strategy, but only if it is the power of the United States that brings peace, not Russia.
Putin is trying to restore the Russkiy Mir, the Russian World, which expands from Eastern Europe to Central Asia. He is strengthening a secret campaign to unstable Europe through abalone, obstruction and assassination, and he will not stop confusing in an election as long as he thinks he can run away. He is not our friend.
Some argue that the United States must sacrifice Taiwan and Ukraine and agree with the world that affects the United States in China, Europe, and Western hemispheres in Asia. But history shows that great force stops invasion when it stops with forced or geography.
There is no reason to believe that XI and Putin will be an exception to this rules.
The realm of the influence world will be dominated by Thucydides’ Melian dialogue, where the strong is that they do what they do and those who are weak are doing what they need to do.
It is not the world we want.
Moreover, the divided world will not only be more violent and oppressive, but also poor. The large wealth has never been made by the FORTRESS economy. It comes from public international commerce that enables trade, specialization and complex growth.
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Finally, there is a continuous revolution of technology such as AI, robotics, quantum computing, synthetic biology and perhaps nuclear fusion to add to national security tasks. The country that has won this “Technology Weapon Race” will be dominant for the next decades. We want it to be the United States.
The United States has significant advantages in this innovative technology, but our continued lead and ultimate victory are never certain. Economic populism policy only hurt the opportunity to win this competition.
What is the conclusion of all this?
The bottom line is that there is much more uncertainty about our national security for decades. There is an uncertainty about our government’s form of robustness, uncertainty about whether the world is heading for a large power conflict, and uncertainty about whether we can create power and whether we need to win the new Cold War.
When Tolstoy asked, “What should we do?”
As mentioned earlier, national security begins at home.
The faithfulness of the Constitution, our leaders, national security practitioners and fellow citizens will decide what kind of America we will live in.
Recovery will be the core of the way to move forward -elasticity to restore our unity. Instead of depletion of it; And once again, the elasticity that creates a common cause with people who have the same thoughts against the forces of darkness.
The founders, the preservatives of the union, the greatest generation are all seen.
We cannot disappoint them.
I don’t know about you, but I’m not tired yet.
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