Over the past few years, the world has been entangled in any way and has been in a fierce conflict of fear of World War III. Ukraine’s invasion of Russia, Israel-Hamas War, and India-Pacific tension emphasized the need for valuable suppression for countries with growing threats. Against the background Military aid slowly trickingAt that time, the lack of US strategy under President Biden, Open diplomatic conflict Together with President Trump’s European allies, East Asia is closely watching. Whether the Indian-Pacific state should pursue strategic autonomy Nucleus To confront the upward threat and US determination.
In the Indian-Pacific Ocean, there are several brewing conflicts with a wider regional impact and potential escalation factors. Russia’s aggressive movement was allocated not only for Ukraine but also to Japan as a Kremlin. Tokyo withdraws from the WWII Arre Treaty with Tokyo on the Kuril Islands dispute.. Withdrawal threatens the delicate power balance between Moscow and Tokyo. The suspension of the treaty can open hostility in the future.. The same is true for Japan threat The People’s Liberation Army Navy (Plan) in China’s amphibious forces. China’s ambition is with the Japanese archipelago Luzon StraitLife line of the Japanese economy.
In the South China Sea The Philippines and Vietnam are enduring planning naval invasion.Violation of their territorial sovereignty and UNCLOS. Frequent Chinese Navy Ramping In the finishing ships of Vietnam and the Philippines, we have grew up with the United States. Washington recently ratified the mutual defense agreement with Manila.Under the BIDEN administration, a strategic alliance with Hanoi was held.
The Korean peninsula North Korea with a much more aggressive and unpredictable North Korea according to Kim Jong -un. After finishing all diplomatic talks with Korea, we strengthened the Korean army with more missile launches. In Ukraine, he dispatched an army to intervene in Russia’s invasion.The Kim regime is showing signs of preparing for a new Korean War. Also, Korea President Yoon’s coup failure failed. The United States ratified and stated US-Rok Alliance Korea will also be protected as a nuclear weapon.In the midst of the growing behavior of the Kim regime. However, South Korea is closely watching the US determination as North Korea becomes more daring until that day.
The Taiwan Strait is currently attracting the world’s attention in all brewing India-Pacific conflicts that China continues to face conflicts in India and Pacific. Hints they will eventually choose a military choice. Forced merger Taiwan. As the threat increases, the US military prioritizes the options to defend Taiwan and reconstruct the army against China. Power Design 2030. more Asymmetric war About the PLA to enact the destruction. You can also do the ROC army Western military doctrine benefits Defend the same island as the British small team initiative.
During Ukraine’s invasion of Russia, the United States first The policy of supporting Ukraine is “takes a long time.” However, ambiguity did not cause a clear policy to fully deport the Russian army in an illegal merger of the war, or to fully deport the clear path to KYIV’s NATO. The feeling of frustration has grown After the US presidential election with President VolodyMyr Zelensky and President Biden, the Ukrainian government expects to cooperate with President Trump. Instead, Trump is enacting a robbery policy. Not only Ukraine but also Europe.
I feel that the war and war are the burden of the United States, and the Trump administration as well as Ukraine was forced to create territory occupied in Russia. But it is also US troops can withdraw In a country independent in the Soviet Union. In addition, the administration is enacting a policy. Ukraine’s robbery of minerals The United States does not specifically guarantee security Previously disabled A country with war. Trump’s current policy can reflect what the administration can enforce in the Indian Pacific region against Taiwan’s semiconductor manufacturer (TSMC), such as Washington. Taipei claims to “stole” the chip center..
In the US’s foreign policy, unpredictable sex is increasing interest in the Indian-Pacific allies and partners and morning calls. admit Increased threats in China, North Korea and RussiaThe best regional allies in the United States must prepare for the accident when the preliminary promise is sour. Japan, now A The main reconstruction of self -defense (JSDF), pledge Keep supporting Ukraine Despite the US derailment at the G20 summit. Also, Japan has I started discussion Although Tokyo has defended the global nuclear disarmament for decades, additional nuclear sharing with the United States. The war between Europe and the Middle East and the threat of brewing in Asia, Japan, informed national security and suppression. American politics It will increase the reevaluation. Tokyo will continue to improve military power. Tomahawk Cruise Missile,, F-35 BravoAdditional dialogue on global weapons control.
In 2025, Manila, who has a mutual defense agreement with Washington, will feel tension because the US willingness to have a great relationship with allies in 2025 affects the South China Sea. like China grows artificial islands And conflict with the Philippines continues to stimulate. The United States’s top Southeast Asian alliance can be in Beijing’s unfair agreement and the mercy of exercise if the United States does not act crucial.
Determination and Trump’s diplomatic policy ambiguity can restart Korea’s dialogue. Potential nuclear weapon. Seoul praised Trump to improve his relationship with Pyongyang, but Kim’s regime is much more unstable and bold thanks to the mutual defense agreement with Moscow. According to NYT and several pollsIn September 2024, Korea’s support for independent nuclear weapons programs was still high, and the continuous tension between the US and NATO would raise the alarm that Koreans did not want to respond to the US nuclear strike.
Among all the US allies in the Pacific, Taiwan The United States no longer has a mutual defense treaty with Taipei.Trump with the investigation and tariffs of the Republic. ROC will have an alliance Japan with ChinaBut until then, the two countries will have to rely on the US’s support to repell the PLA’s ambitions.
China will be the biggest winner if the United States is an untrusted ally and strategic partner in the Indian-Pacific Ocean. If US soft power and force projections are weak, the Indo-Pacific Partnership will miss the witty leadership in the United States and interfere with the balance of the PLA. During the negotiations, potential US separation and rewards against Russia, along with Ukrainian sovereignty territory, will cause alarms in Asia. The Wall Street Journal recently reported.
If international order, defense treaties and obligations appear to be useless after World War II, the story of nuclear proliferation and new weapons competition after the Cold War can be a reality. Understanding mutual destruction (MAD) has prevented nuclear deterrence from preventing countries such as India, Pakistan, the United States, and Russia to carry out war against each other. The US’s current ambiguity of defense cooperation, alliance, and international law is not strategic and makes the world more unstable and unpredictable. Due to the brewing conflict in India-Pacific, which can affect major wars without specific deterrence, the US allies in the region will have to pursue independent nuclear programs.
Additional reading of electronic international relations
