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Opinion on the March Employment Report

MONews
4 Min Read

By ~ Calculated risk 4/04/2025 09:14:00 am

The headline work number in the March Employment Report was higher than expected, but the salary in January and February was revised to 48,000. Participation rate increased, the percentage of employment population did not change, and unemployment rate increased to 4.2%.

Prime (25-54 years) participation

The overall participation rate is influenced by periodic (recession) and demographic statistics (aging population, young people who stay in school), so the percentage of employment population of major labor age groups is 25 to 54 years old.

Participation rate of 25-54 years decreased from 83.5%in February to 83.3%in March.

The percentage of employment population of 25-54 decreased from 80.5%last month to 80.4%.

Both have fallen from the recent highs, but they are still close to this millennium.

Average hourly wage

wagesThis graph shows the nominal change of “average hourly income” for all private employees in the current employment statistics (CES).

As the low -wage employees were released, there was a big increase at the beginning of the epidemic, and after a year, the epidemic -related spike was reversed.

Wage growth was 3.8% in March after reaching its peak at 5.9% YoY in March 2022.


Part -time for economic reasons

Part -time workersIn BLS report:

For economic reasons, the number of people hired as part -time was 4.8 million, which has rarely changed in March. This individual preferred full -time employment, but worked as part -time because he had reduced time or could not find a full time job.

For economic reasons, the number of people working in part -time decreased from 4.94 million in February to 47.8 million in March. This is higher than the previous level.

These workers Alternative measurement The utilization rate of labor decreased from 8.0%of last month to 7.9%(U-6). This fell from the highest level in the 22.9%record in April 2020 and fell at the lowest level (seasonal adjustment) in December 2022 (6.6%). (This series started in 1994). This measurement is 7.0% in February 2020.

Unemployed for 26 weeks

Unemployed for 26 weeksThis graph shows the number of unemployed more than 27 weeks.

According to the BLS, there are 1.46 million workers who have been unemployed for more than 26 weeks but still wants to work in 144 million people.

This has recently risen from 4,170 million since the salary.

This is higher than the previous level.

Job march

According to the Employment Report by March 2025, positive growth was 51 consecutive months in a row, and the current march ranked second in the longest job in American history (after 1939).


Headline work, top 10 strike
The year is over Striped, months
1 2020 113
2 Currently, not applicable 511
3 1990 48
4 2007 46
5 1979 45
6 tie 1943 33
6 tie 1986 33
6 tie 2000 33
9 1967 29
10 1995 25
1Current stripes


summation:

The headline work number in the March Employment Report was higher than expected, but the salary in January and February was revised to 48,000. Participation rate increased, the percentage of employment population did not change, and unemployment rate increased to 4.2%.

This was a solid employment report.

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