As the global temperature rises every year, the Earth heads to a new era marked as a prospective violation of the Paris Convention. The International Climate Treaty, signed in 2016, has set limitations to maintain the global surface temperature of 1.5 degrees (C) (2.7 Fahrenheit) before industrialization, but the two new research warns that the world can fail. Important test.
Recent temperature data reflects worse turns because the average global temperature is the first year of surpassing 1.5 degrees C. Natural climate changeIn 2024, this tip point was motivated by this tip point to determine whether the data predicted the imminent violation of the Paris Contract Limit. The simulation mentioned in the two studies shows that it is a real possible sex.
A problem pattern
It is impossible to say so Paris Convention The limit has been suspended based on the average execution of global surface temperature measured for 20 years. Therefore, one year C, which is 1.5 degrees before industrialization, does not mean that the limit is passed because factors such as the El Niño case, which are the natural climate patterns that cause warming in the Pacific, affect the data every year. But it can still indicate the beginning of long -term warming.
One of European -based studies has been investigated. Warming trend In the past, the world met the global temperature threshold value (0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9, and 1.0 degrees, which is superior to the previous level of industrialization.The author of this study is the same temperature in which each of these critical values exceed each. We found that we had fallen consistently within the first 20 years of reaching the critical price.
Since 2024, the pattern has reached an average of 1.5 degrees C than the industrial industry level, and we may have already entered a 20 -year warming period, which can eventually mean a violation of the Paris Agreement. If this is true, influence On average, 1.5 degrees C warm world can soon be embodied. Although there is an opportunity to reduce the warming probability of more than 1.5 degrees over the next few years, this requires strict mitigation efforts around the world, the author of the study said.
Read more: As climate change warms up the metropolitan city, the mouse population increases.
Beginning of long -term warming
Another study based on Canada includes a similar method of considering past data as an anticipated method. Future global warming. June 2024 was 12 consecutive months of the world surface temperature of 1.5 degrees or higher (but this does not yet show a violation of the Paris Convention).
Considering 12 consecutive months of more than 1.5 degrees C, the simulation of this study means that long -term cross -crosses of 1.5 degrees C in June 2024 will result in long -term crossroads before 2029.
I’m waiting for a climate plan
The threat of climate change became clearer in 2024, and the Paris Convention reminded us that the efforts should be increased. However, concerns about priority of climate agenda around the world have been raised.
Only 13 of the 195 parties who recently signed the Paris Convention have submitted an emission cutting plan (“Contributing nationally” Or until February 10 deadline or NDCS). The parties who have completed the pledge to deal with how to reduce the emissions by 2035 include Brazil, the United Arab Emirates, the UK and the United States, including the world’s largest economy, especially China, India and India. , Russia and European Union.
The two recent research, which predicts the future of warming, serves as a morning call for countries to adhere to ambitious climate plans and immediately reduce emissions.
Read more: Climate change disappears these five powerful ancient civilizations.
article source
Our writer Discovermagazine.com Use fellow review research and high -quality sources in the article and use editorial reviews for scientific accuracy and editorial standards. In this article, review the source used below.
Jack Knudson is a second editor of Discover and is very interested in environmental science and history. Before joining Discover in 2023, he studied journalism at the Scripps College of Communication of Ohio University and previously interned at Recycling Today Magazine.
