Our new weekly column rounds up the most important polling trends, or 3 things you need to know, according to our survey. You’ll also find data-driven updates on past daily course reports and mood checks on trends driving politics.
Republicans suddenly think the economy is on top
President Donald Trump opposes the economy and says he “fix” That? Obviously, for the Republicans, it was all about Trump winning the election for them to decide that the economy wasn’t that bad.
Opinion poll by Civiqs As of January 24, 2024, 66% of Republican voters rated the national economy as “very bad,” while another 28% said it was “fairly bad.”
A Civiqs poll from last Wednesday found that only 48% of Republican voters believe the economy is “very bad.” Many of them seem to have slipped into thinking that the economy is “pretty bad.”
On the one hand, this isn’t that surprising. Trump is a honeymoon period It’s in line with Republican excitement about his victory in 2024. And while the reversal in voters’ attitudes will certainly be hard on Republicans, it could be counterproductive. Voters want to see lower price Under Trump, their view of him will sour if it doesn’t happen.
And it looks alive. In December, Trump said it was “very difficultTo keep grocery costs down for him. meantime, Egg prices are skyrocketingSome major retailers are planning price increase If Trump enacts his brutal and long-overdue tariffs.
What about the emotions across the aisle though? The percentage of Democrats who say the economy is good is about the same as it was on Election Day. Civiq: More than 50% say it is “fairly good,” and about 20% say it is “very good.”
Republicans support tariffs that raise prices
In October, Trump announced a campaign event“For me, the most beautiful word in the world in the dictionary is tariffs. It’s my favorite word. “I need a public relations firm.”
Trump is right about one thing. Americans aren’t crazy about tariffs. Only 30% of registered voters have a favorable view, according to a new poll. navigator studies. 43% have an unfavorable view and 27% are unsure.
Worse, a plurality of registered Republican voters (47%) think tariffs will lead to higher prices for common goods. A majority of independent (63%) and Democratic voters (85%) agree.
Earlier this week, Trump said he was considering imposes a 25% tariff For goods imported from Canada and Mexico on February 1 Implementation of 10% tariff Chinese imports.
According to Navigator, voters expressed a variety of concerns about Trump’s plan. Overall, 41% say increased listing costs are their top concern for the middle class, while 33% are concerned about “new taxes on almost everything we buy.” Another 29% are worried that foreign countries will retaliate by imposing their own tariffs.
Partisan differences drove the poll results. Only 12% of Democrats say they view tariffs favorably, compared to 50% of Republicans who say the same. This is somewhat shocking, considering a plurality of Republicans (41%) also say the cost of things will increase if tariffs are enacted.
Since this proposal comes from Trump, the Republican Party may have more of an attitude. But what if they raise their prices? As expectedTo make America less competitive globally?
GOP voters appear to be ignoring this reality and are instead holding on to the hope that tariffs will help American jobs and manufacturing. According to the survey, 69% of Republicans think tariffs are “worth it” if they achieve these two goals. Only 21% of Democrats and 29% of independent voters agree.
his inauguration addressTrump said he would “overhaul” the U.S. trade system to “protect American workers and their families.” But widespread opposition to the tariffs, especially among the left and independents, suggests the president may soon have a PR crisis on his hands.
Americans Recognize Trump by Interruption
Israel and Hamas last week tentatively agreed In a ceasefire deal that included releasing hostages and stopping the brutal war. extinction Most of Gaza Strip. If everything goes according to planThere will be no fighting in Gaza for at least six weeks, there will be no dozens of Israeli hostages, and Palestinian prisoners will be freed.
Trump after negotiators announce deal Tried to get exclusive credit For that. As absurd as his claims are, Americans seem to largely agree with his spin.
no way New report on data for progress We find that 49% of voters approve of Trump more than Biden on the ceasefire. Only 44% credit Biden, even if the current deal reflects one The president delivered last year proposed last year.
Much of it is driven by partisanship. An overwhelming majority of Democrats (82%) say they approve of Biden more, and nearly as many Republicans (85%) say they praise Trump. Independents, however, lean toward approving of Trump, with 53% giving him more approval and only 38% giving Biden more approval.
Moreover, data from Progressives shows that Biden ended his presidency with a -18 point approval rating in his handling of the Israel-Hamas war, while Trump begins the new term with a +12 point approval rating on the issue.
Whether Trump deserves all or half or 10% of the credit is a matter of dispute, but it’s clear he helped. portion method. First, Trump warned:all hellIf Hamas didn’t free its hostages before taking office, it would be loose in the Middle East. Second, Trump’s team participated in the negotiation process and enter Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu makes concessions and agrees to the deal.
Meanwhile, the poll also found that 78% of voters support at least a ceasefire deal. And that sentiment holds true in a party line in which 84% of Democrats, 76% of Independents, and 73% of Republicans are on board.
Are there any updates?
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There are courses every day is extensively covered that GOP crusaders for diversity, equity and inclusion programs. But a new poll shows that nearly half (48%) of Americans have a favorable view of DEI programs. Yougov. And only 29% have an unfavorable view of the program.
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The Democratic Party’s old guard doesn’t seem as willing to pass the torch to younger members as they do every day. reported in December. But the Congress itself has improved in at least one respect. Pew Research Center. That makes the 119th Congress the most racially and ethnically diverse Congress to date, but it still is not representative of the nation. 58% Non-Hispanic White.
mood check
Donald Trump begins his new term as president with 53% of registered voters holding an unfavorable view of him, according to Civiqs data as of Friday.
Andrew Mangan contributed to the research.
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