Annie Loray: “Exit polls show that nearly half of union households voted Republican in 2024. This is an increase from 43% in 2016 and 37% in 2000. Other polls have shown Trump with a 26-point lead among white voters without a college degree from union households. It’s up 9 points since 2020. Conversely, Democratic support among Latino voters in union households fell by 35 percentage points and also weakened among black unions. voter.”
“This trend is part of a long, slow structural electoral realignment. This century, the country has become less polarized on the income front, with Democrats winning among coastal elites and Republicans winning among the working class. Over the past decade, racial polarization has eased as black, Asian and Latino voters have turned red. And education became an even stronger predictor of an individual’s partisanship. Now, Democrats dominate among college-educated people, and Republicans dominate whites without degrees.”
“The Republican coalition has become more diverse, and the Democratic Party has seen its working-class base, the working-class base that kept it elected throughout the 20th century, disappear.”
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