Republicans don’t have much opportunity to expand their electorate. Their old white base is disappearing, suburbanites are fleeing to the Democratic Party, voters of color are very progressive, young voters are solidly progressive…
The only opportunity for growth for the Republican Party young men—The worst-performing voting demographic.
And so far they are not doing any better this year.
From early Thursday morning approx. 13.5 million They’ve already voted in battleground states, according to TargetSmart, a data company that works with Democratic candidates. Among them, the gender classification is as follows: 54% women, 44% menThe rest are unknown. It’s a good sign that there are women in the Democratic Party. lean to the left.
Of those numbers, 8.9% Among the battleground early voters are 18 to 29 years old. It makes sense that younger voters would be more likely to be underrepresented in early voting because older, busier, and/or people with health issues are more motivated to vote early or by mail. For context, voters ages 18 to 29 were about 17% of the electorate in 2020. exit poll.
Among early voters aged 18 to 29, women took the lead. 52-43The rest are unknown.
But the interesting thing here is that more Democratic young men voted than Republican young men. 45-42. (Note: This is using modeled party identification. This does not mean that this man is a definite member of the indicated party, but TargetSmart’s data is generally reliable.)
And how many young Republican men are voting early? Of a total of 13.5 million initial battleground state votes, only 220,694 were cast.
This corresponds to 1.6% of the total.
these Strange and young, MAGA incel type Republicans hope it will bail them out of a demographic dead end.
It’s barely noticeable so far, so we’d better hope the numbers increase dramatically by Election Day.
